Series Post #6: Making High Quality Decisions
What are Core Mental Models (con’t) #8-9
8. Occam’s Razor: Simpler explanations are more likely to be true than complex ones. Don’t begin with trying to disprove a compilated fact pattern. Instead, begin with trying to prove a simple fact pattern.
9. Hanlon’s Razor: Don’t blame malice for things that can more easily be explained by stupidity. Bad results aren’t always caused by bad actors; they are more often missed opportunities. The explanation most likely to be right is the one with the least amount of intent. People make mistakes.
We can’t always predict the outcome of our decisions. But if you have a solid decision-making process using mental models, you will find yourself making high-quality decisions more often.