Series Post #6: Making High Quality Decisions

What are Core Mental Models (con’t) #6-7

6. Probabilistic Thinking: This is trying to estimate, using math and logic, the likelihood of any specific outcome happening. Identifying the most likely outcomes is one of the best tools available to improve the quality of our decisions.

7. Inversion: Most of us tend to think in one direction about a problem. Sometimes it helps to turn things upside down. Instead of asking, “What’s the fastest path to getting this product to market?”, invert and ask, “What are all the obstacles that could delay us getting this product to market?”